Probability Tree Diagrams
Learn how to draw and use probability tree diagrams to work out probabilities step by step. Let’s get started! 🚀

Video Lesson
Watch and learn the basics

Flashcards
Review key concepts visually
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🛎️ What Is a Probability Tree Diagram?
- A probability tree diagram shows all possible outcomes step by step.
- It is used for two-stage events, like drawing one ball at a time.
🛎️ Drawing the Probability Tree Correctly
- Write fractions on every branch so probabilities are clear.
- After the first outcome, update the probabilities for what is left.
🛎️ Finding the Probability of a Single Outcome
- You multiply the probabilities along one path.
- This gives the probability of one specific result.
🛎️ Finding the Probability of a Combined Event
- A combined event means more than one path fits the question.
- You add the probabilities of paths like red-red and blue-blue.
🛎️ Probability of At Least One Event Happening
- You can add all paths where the event happens.
- Or do 1 − probability of the opposite to save time and check your answer.
Practice Questions
Test your understanding
In a bag with 10 balls (6 red and 4 blue), what is the probability of drawing a red ball on the first draw?

Correct! 🎉 +10 pointsNot quite right
There are 6 red balls out of a total of 10 balls. The probability of drawing a red ball is , which simplifies to .
In a bag with 10 balls (6 red and 4 blue), what is the probability of drawing a blue ball on the first draw?

Correct! 🎉 +10 pointsNot quite right
There are 4 blue balls out of 10 total balls. The probability is , which simplifies to .
If you draw a blue ball on the first draw from a bag of 10 balls (6 red and 4 blue), what is the probability of drawing another blue ball on the second draw?

Correct! 🎉 +20 pointsNot quite right
After drawing one blue ball, there are 3 blue balls left out of 9 total balls. The probability is , which simplifies to .
If your first draw from a bag of 6 red balls and 4 blue balls is a blue ball, what is the probability of drawing a red ball on the second draw without replacement?

Correct! 🎉 +20 pointsNot quite right
After drawing one blue ball, there are 6 red balls left out of 9 total balls. The probability of drawing a red ball is , which simplifies to .
In a bag with 6 red balls and 4 blue balls, what is the probability of drawing one red ball first and then one blue ball without replacement?

Correct! 🎉 +20 pointsNot quite right
The probability of drawing a red ball first is . The probability of drawing a blue ball second is . Multiplying gives , which simplifies to .
In a bag with 6 red balls and 4 blue balls, what is the probability of drawing one red ball and one blue ball in two draws without replacement?

Correct! 🎉 +30 pointsNot quite right
There are two possible outcomes: drawing red then blue, or blue then red. Red then blue has probability . Blue then red has probability . Adding gives , which simplifies to .
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Interactive Activity
Use a tree diagram to visualise how probabilities are calculated.
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